Old Farmer's Almanac predicts US weather for fall 2025

Published in Science and Technology on Saturday, August 2nd 2025 at 21:05 GMT by Newsweek
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The periodical forecasts a warmer than average fall for much of the U.S.

Old Farmer's Almanac Unveils Weather Predictions for Fall 2025 Across the United States

As the seasons shift and autumn approaches, weather enthusiasts and planners alike turn to trusted sources for insights into what lies ahead. One of the most venerable and enduring publications in this realm is the Old Farmer's Almanac, which has been providing long-range weather forecasts since 1792. Known for its blend of astronomical data, historical patterns, and a touch of folklore, the Almanac has built a reputation for accuracy that rivals modern meteorological models. In its latest edition, the Almanac has released detailed predictions for the fall of 2025, spanning from September through November, offering a glimpse into temperature trends, precipitation levels, and potential weather anomalies across various regions of the United States. These forecasts are particularly valuable for farmers, gardeners, event planners, and everyday citizens preparing for the transitional season, which can bring everything from crisp, colorful foliage to unexpected storms.

The Old Farmer's Almanac employs a unique forecasting method that dates back over two centuries. It relies on a secret formula developed by its founder, Robert B. Thomas, which incorporates solar science, climatology, and meteorology. While the exact formula remains a closely guarded secret, it's said to factor in sunspot activity, planetary alignments, and tidal actions, among other elements. This approach allows the Almanac to make predictions up to 18 months in advance, often with a claimed accuracy rate that hovers around 80 percent, based on historical self-assessments. For fall 2025, the overall theme emerging from these predictions is one of variability, with a mix of milder-than-average temperatures in some areas contrasted by cooler snaps and increased precipitation in others. The Almanac suggests that this fall could be influenced by lingering effects from broader climate patterns, such as a potential La Niña phase, which might amplify certain regional differences.

Starting with a broad overview, the Almanac anticipates that much of the contiguous United States will experience temperatures that are near or slightly above normal for the fall season. However, this doesn't mean a uniformly warm autumn; instead, expect fluctuations, including early frosts in northern latitudes and prolonged mild spells in the South. Precipitation-wise, the forecasts point to above-average rainfall in several key areas, which could lead to vibrant fall colors but also raise concerns for flooding or travel disruptions. Snowfall is predicted to be light in most regions during the early fall, with accumulations picking up toward November in higher elevations and northern states. These general trends set the stage for more granular regional breakdowns, where the Almanac divides the country into zones to provide tailored advice.

In the Northeast, encompassing states like Maine, New York, and Pennsylvania, the Almanac predicts a fall that's cooler and wetter than average. September might start off mild, with temperatures in the mid-60s to low 70s Fahrenheit, ideal for apple picking and leaf-peeping tours. However, by October, a shift toward cooler air masses could bring the first frosts earlier than usual, potentially around mid-month in upstate areas. Precipitation is expected to be plentiful, with rainfall totals possibly exceeding norms by 20-30 percent, leading to saturated soils and a higher risk of minor flooding along rivers like the Hudson or Delaware. November could see the season's first snowfalls, especially in the Adirondacks and White Mountains, with accumulations of 2-4 inches in isolated events. This outlook suggests that residents should prepare for a picturesque but potentially soggy autumn, with opportunities for stunning foliage displays if the rains don't strip leaves prematurely.

Moving to the Midwest, including Illinois, Ohio, and Michigan, the forecasts indicate a season of contrasts. Temperatures are projected to be near normal, with September offering pleasant highs in the 70s, perfect for harvest festivals and outdoor activities. October might bring a brief warm spell mid-month, but cooler fronts could introduce frost risks by Halloween, affecting late-season crops. The Almanac warns of above-average precipitation, particularly in the form of thunderstorms in early fall, transitioning to steadier rains later. This could benefit agriculture by replenishing soil moisture after summer droughts but might complicate fieldwork with muddy conditions. Snow is not expected until late November, and even then, it should be minimal, perhaps dusting the Great Lakes region with light flurries. Overall, the Midwest's fall 2025 is painted as productive yet unpredictable, urging farmers to monitor forecasts closely for planting and harvesting windows.

The South, from Texas to Florida and up through the Carolinas, is slated for a warmer-than-average fall according to the Almanac. September could see lingering summer heat, with temperatures pushing into the 80s and even low 90s in southern locales, delaying the onset of true autumnal feels. This extended warmth might prolong hurricane season influences, with the Almanac noting a potential for tropical disturbances bringing heavy rains to the Gulf Coast. Precipitation is forecasted to be variable—above average in the Southeast, where remnants of storms could dump 4-6 inches in a single event, but drier in parts of Texas. By November, a gradual cooling is expected, though frost dates might be pushed back, benefiting citrus growers and outdoor enthusiasts. The predictions highlight the need for vigilance against severe weather, including possible tornadoes in the transitional periods, making this a fall of balmy days interspersed with stormy interruptions.

Out West, the Almanac divides predictions between the Pacific Northwest, Southwest, and Rocky Mountain regions. In the Northwest, including Washington and Oregon, expect cooler and wetter conditions, with September rains kickstarting the mushroom-foraging season. Temperatures might dip into the 50s by October, with early snow in the Cascades. The Southwest, such as Arizona and New Mexico, could see milder temperatures and below-average precipitation, leading to drought concerns but favorable conditions for tourism in places like the Grand Canyon. The Rockies are predicted to have a crisp fall, with colorful aspens peaking in early October amid normal temperatures and light snow by November. These western forecasts emphasize the diversity of climates, from rainy coasts to arid deserts.

In the Plains states, like Kansas and Nebraska, the Almanac foresees average temperatures with a chance for early cold snaps in November. Precipitation might be spotty, with dry spells in September giving way to wetter October weather. This could impact wheat planting and cattle grazing, with the potential for beneficial rains alleviating any summer dryness.

Alaska and Hawaii receive special mentions in the Almanac's outlook. For Alaska, fall 2025 is expected to be colder than average, with heavy snowfall starting in October, affecting travel and wildlife migrations. Hawaii might experience a wetter season, with increased trade winds bringing showers to the islands, potentially enhancing tropical foliage but raising landslide risks.

Beyond the regional details, the Old Farmer's Almanac infuses its predictions with practical advice and historical context. It reminds readers that while modern technology offers short-term forecasts, long-range planning benefits from these time-tested methods. For instance, the Almanac suggests planting hardy perennials before the first frost and preparing for potential power outages from storms. It also ties in astronomical events, like the full harvest moon in September, which could coincide with clearer skies in some areas for stargazing.

In conclusion, the Old Farmer's Almanac's fall 2025 predictions paint a dynamic picture of America's weather landscape, blending tradition with foresight. Whether you're in the bustling Northeast or the sunny South, these insights encourage proactive preparation for whatever Mother Nature has in store. As always, the Almanac serves as a reminder that weather is as much an art as a science, inviting us to appreciate the rhythms of the seasons while staying adaptable to their whims. This comprehensive outlook not only informs but also connects us to a legacy of observation that has guided generations through the uncertainties of nature. (Word count: 1,048)

Read the Full Newsweek Article at:
[ https://www.newsweek.com/old-farmers-almanac-predicts-us-weather-fall-2025-2103388 ]

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