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The threat of space terrorism is no longer science fiction, but we're ill-prepared to combat it

  //science-technology.news-articles.net/content/2 .. fiction-but-we-re-ill-prepared-to-combat-it.html
  Published in Science and Technology on Tuesday, November 4th 2025 at 13:42 GMT by rnz
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The Quiet Threat Rising Above Earth: Why Space Terrorism is a Reality, Not a Fantasy

The cosmos has long been romanticised as a frontier of endless possibility and international cooperation. Yet a recent report by Radio New Zealand (RNZ) reveals that this dream is under siege: the threat of space terrorism is no longer the domain of speculative fiction, but a looming danger that New Zealand and the rest of the world are woefully ill‑prepared to confront. Drawing on expert testimony, recent incidents, and a detailed look at the vulnerabilities of modern space infrastructure, the article paints a stark picture of a new kind of warfare that could cripple nations at a moment’s notice.

1. The Growing Dependence on Space Assets

Today, a staggering portion of global infrastructure—navigation, communication, weather forecasting, and even military command and control—relies on satellites orbiting Earth. New Zealand, like many other countries, is not exempt. The nation’s reliance on satellite‑based positioning systems for maritime safety, aviation navigation, and agricultural monitoring makes it a prime target for actors who could use space‑borne weapons to disrupt critical services.

RNZ highlights that satellite constellations are not just singular devices but tightly interlinked networks. An attack on a single satellite can cascade, creating blackouts for entire regions and undermining confidence in digital services worldwide. The article notes that “the very same satellite that guides a cargo ship into port could be hijacked or disabled by a single well‑planned attack,” a reality that has long been considered science fiction but is now an imminent threat.

2. How Space Terrorism Can Manifest

The RNZ piece outlines several avenues through which a malicious actor could launch a space‑based assault:

• Kinetic Attacks: Anti‑satellite (ASAT) weapons, ranging from ground‑based kinetic interceptors to missile‑launched projectiles, can destroy or severely damage satellites. While a few nations possess such capabilities, the threat is widening as smaller, private companies begin testing high‑altitude, high‑velocity rockets that could be repurposed for orbital strikes.

• Non‑Kinetic Methods: Cyber‑attacks on satellite control systems, electromagnetic pulse (EMP) weapons, or sophisticated jamming techniques can disable satellites without physical contact. The article underscores that even a temporary loss of a satellite’s data feed can cause widespread economic damage.

• Space Debris as Weaponized Obstacle: Deliberate creation of debris, or “space junk,” can serve as a silent threat. A single piece of orbiting debris can cause catastrophic damage to multiple satellites, especially as orbital traffic intensifies. The RNZ report stresses that the current “debris population” is already high enough to warrant concern, and malicious use could push it to dangerous levels.

3. Historical Incidents and Red Flags

While the article’s core focus is on future threats, it draws on recent incidents that serve as cautionary tales. The 2007 “Chinese ASAT test” that produced thousands of debris pieces and the 2018 “South Korean test of an anti‑satellite missile” are both cited as red flags. RNZ also references a 2021 report from the U.S. Congress that highlighted the vulnerability of commercial satellite networks to cyber‑intrusions. The piece further notes that an unnamed terrorist organization has allegedly been developing low‑cost, ground‑based rocket launchers capable of reaching orbit—a development that could democratise access to anti‑satellite technology.

4. New Zealand’s Current Defensive Posture

According to RNZ, New Zealand’s space defence strategy is still in its infancy. While the country is a signatory to the 1967 Outer Space Treaty and has invested in space situational awareness (SSA) through the New Zealand Space Agency, the nation lacks a comprehensive national space defence plan. The article points out that New Zealand relies largely on international cooperation for monitoring and protecting its satellite assets, leaving it vulnerable if those partners are compromised.

The RNZ piece quotes several experts from the New Zealand Defence Force who warn that the “gap between the rate of satellite deployment and the rate of threat evolution is widening.” They argue that proactive measures—including advanced SSA systems, satellite hardening, and robust cyber‑defence protocols—are essential.

5. The Call for a Holistic, International Approach

The report stresses that space terrorism cannot be tackled by any single nation alone. The RNZ article calls for a new set of international norms and cooperative frameworks that:

• Establish Global Space Traffic Management: Ensuring that all satellite operators coordinate their maneuvers and debris mitigation strategies.

• Promote Rapid Information Sharing: A global network that shares real‑time alerts about potential threats, anomalies, or unexpected debris.

• Create a Rapid Response Force: An international coalition capable of deploying rapid‑response units to counter ASAT attacks or to mitigate debris hazards.

• Encourage Transparent Weaponization Efforts: International agreements to disclose and verify the development of space‑based weapons, reducing clandestine build‑ups.

The article highlights a proposed “Space Security Council” under the United Nations, which aims to address the gaps in current treaties and to foster dialogue between civilian and military stakeholders.

6. Technology and Innovation as Defenses

The RNZ article explores several technological solutions that could fortify satellites against future attacks:

• Hardening and Redundancy: Designing satellites with hardened shielding against kinetic impacts, and incorporating redundant systems that can take over if primary functions are disabled.

• Artificial Intelligence (AI) for Threat Detection: Using machine‑learning algorithms to detect anomalies in satellite telemetry that may indicate a cyber‑attack or physical breach.

• Active Debris Removal (ADR): Developing spacecraft capable of capturing and deorbiting debris pieces, thereby reducing the overall hazard profile.

• Swarm Satellites: Deploying small, low‑cost satellites in clusters that can compensate for the loss of individual nodes, ensuring continued coverage even if one satellite is compromised.

Experts quoted in the RNZ piece suggest that these technologies should be incorporated not just into new builds but retrofitted to existing satellites where possible.

7. Economic Implications

Beyond security, RNZ emphasises the economic stakes. A single catastrophic failure of a key communication or navigation satellite could halt commercial shipping lanes, disrupt financial markets, or halt critical infrastructure services. The article references a 2019 study that estimated the cost of a major satellite disruption could reach billions of dollars globally. For New Zealand, whose economy depends heavily on agriculture, fisheries, and tourism, such disruptions could have lasting ripple effects.

8. Policy Recommendations and Next Steps

The RNZ report culminates in a set of actionable recommendations for policymakers:

1. Establish a National Space Defence Strategy: A comprehensive plan that incorporates both defensive and offensive capabilities, aligned with international law.

2. Invest in SSA Infrastructure: Building ground‑based and space‑borne sensors to track objects in low‑Earth orbit (LEO) with greater precision.

3. Foster Public‑Private Partnerships: Encouraging collaboration between government agencies and commercial satellite operators to share data and resources.

4. Enhance International Collaboration: Actively participating in UN initiatives and bilateral agreements to promote transparency and mutual defence.

5. Promote STEM Education in Space Technologies: Building a domestic workforce capable of developing and maintaining advanced space systems.

The article concludes that space, once considered the final frontier, is rapidly becoming a contested domain. New Zealand’s future security—and that of the world—depends on proactive measures today to mitigate a threat that could disrupt lives, economies, and the very infrastructure upon which modern society depends.

Follow‑up Links from the Article

• New Zealand Space Agency – Provides an overview of the government’s strategy for space security and a portal for satellite operators.
• Space Debris Mitigation Guidelines – Outlines international standards for responsible satellite operations and debris removal.
• United Nations Space Security Council Proposal – Details the proposed framework for international cooperation on space defence.

These resources offer deeper dives into the technical, legal, and policy aspects of space terrorism, underscoring the urgent need for a coordinated, multifaceted response.