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Cape Cod's housing crunch: Where can a regular person still buy a home? - The Boston Globe

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  With high prices and limited inventory, it's become harder than ever to find a home on the Cape. Take a look at Dennis and Yarmouth, where there are the most affordable options.


Surging Cape Cod Real Estate: High Prices and Robust Sales Define the Market


In the sun-drenched enclaves of Cape Cod, where salty breezes and pristine beaches have long drawn dreamers and investors alike, the real estate market is experiencing a remarkable surge. As of mid-2025, home sales across this iconic Massachusetts peninsula are hitting new highs, propelled by skyrocketing prices that reflect both enduring appeal and broader economic pressures. Buyers from Boston, New York, and beyond are flocking to the Cape, viewing it not just as a vacation spot but as a permanent haven in an increasingly unpredictable world. This trend, detailed in recent market analyses, underscores a market where median home prices have eclipsed $1 million in several towns, making Cape Cod one of the hottest—and most expensive—real estate destinations in the Northeast.

The numbers paint a vivid picture of this boom. Over the first half of 2025, single-family home sales in Barnstable County, which encompasses Cape Cod, rose by approximately 15% compared to the same period in 2024. This uptick comes despite lingering economic uncertainties, including fluctuating interest rates that have hovered around 6-7% for mortgages. The median sale price for a home on the Cape now stands at about $850,000, a significant jump from $725,000 just two years ago. In hotspots like Provincetown and Wellfleet, that figure climbs even higher, often exceeding $1.5 million for properties with ocean views or historic charm. Condominium sales have followed suit, with a 12% increase in transactions and median prices reaching $600,000, appealing to those seeking lower-maintenance options amid the Cape's seasonal lifestyle.

Several factors are fueling this fervent demand. The post-pandemic shift toward remote work has transformed Cape Cod from a summer retreat into a year-round residence for many professionals. Tech executives from Silicon Valley and finance moguls from Manhattan are snapping up properties, drawn by the promise of Zoom calls from beachside decks. Retirees, too, are a driving force, with baby boomers cashing in on equity from urban homes to fund their coastal dreams. "The Cape offers an unparalleled quality of life," says Sarah Linden, a veteran realtor with Cape Cod Realty Group. "People are willing to pay a premium for the serenity, the community, and the natural beauty that you just can't replicate elsewhere."

Supply constraints exacerbate the price escalation. Cape Cod's geography— a narrow arm of land jutting into the Atlantic—limits new development, with strict zoning laws and environmental protections preserving its quaint character. Only a handful of new constructions have broken ground in recent years, and many of those are luxury builds aimed at high-end buyers. Inventory remains critically low, with homes spending an average of just 45 days on the market before selling, down from 60 days in 2024. This scarcity has led to bidding wars, where properties often fetch 5-10% above asking price. For instance, a modest three-bedroom cottage in Truro, listed at $950,000, recently sold for $1.1 million after multiple offers poured in within hours.

Not all areas of the Cape are experiencing uniform growth. The Outer Cape, including towns like Eastham and Orleans, has seen the most dramatic price hikes, with year-over-year increases of up to 20%. These areas boast unspoiled beaches and a bohemian vibe that attracts artists and nature enthusiasts. In contrast, the Mid-Cape region around Hyannis and Barnstable offers more affordable entry points, with median prices around $650,000, though even here, competition is fierce. The Upper Cape, closer to the mainland bridges, appeals to commuters and families, with sales volumes up but prices stabilizing somewhat due to greater inventory from older subdivisions.

This real estate fervor isn't without its downsides, particularly for longtime residents. Affordability has become a pressing issue, as soaring property values push out locals who can no longer afford taxes or maintenance costs. Young families and service workers— the backbone of the Cape's tourism-driven economy— are finding it increasingly difficult to buy in. "We're seeing a real divide," notes economist Dr. Elena Ramirez from the University of Massachusetts Dartmouth. "While influx of wealth brings economic vitality, it also risks eroding the community's fabric. Gentrification is pricing out the very people who make the Cape special." Community advocates have called for more affordable housing initiatives, such as inclusionary zoning that mandates a percentage of new developments be set aside for lower-income buyers. However, progress has been slow, with developers arguing that high land costs make such projects unfeasible without subsidies.

Luxury properties are the stars of this market narrative. Waterfront estates in Chatham and Osterville are commanding prices north of $5 million, often featuring amenities like private docks, infinity pools, and smart home integrations. One notable sale this year involved a sprawling compound in Dennis Port, complete with guest houses and equestrian facilities, which fetched $8.2 million—a record for the town. Buyers in this segment are increasingly international, with Europeans and Canadians joining the fray, enticed by the Cape's relative stability amid global uncertainties. Real estate agents report that virtual tours and drone footage have become essential tools, allowing out-of-state purchasers to commit without ever setting foot on the property.

Looking ahead, experts predict the Cape Cod market will remain robust, though not without potential headwinds. If interest rates continue to ease, as some Federal Reserve signals suggest, demand could surge further, potentially driving prices up another 10% by year's end. Conversely, any economic downturn or resurgence of urban appeal could temper enthusiasm. Climate change looms as a wildcard; rising sea levels and more frequent storms are prompting buyers to scrutinize flood zones and insurance costs more closely. "Sustainability is becoming a key selling point," Linden adds. "Homes with solar panels, elevated foundations, and resilient designs are fetching premiums as buyers plan for the long term."

The allure of Cape Cod endures, a testament to its timeless charm. From the bustling harbors of Falmouth to the serene dunes of the National Seashore, the region continues to captivate. Yet, as prices climb, the question remains: Can this beloved destination balance growth with accessibility? For now, the market's momentum shows no signs of slowing, inviting both opportunity and reflection for those who call the Cape home—or aspire to.

In delving deeper into the buyer demographics, it's clear that the pandemic's legacy persists. Many purchasers are millennials inheriting wealth or leveraging stock market gains to enter the market. Dual-income households from tech and healthcare sectors are particularly prominent, often seeking second homes that double as investment properties. Rental demand during peak summer months provides a lucrative offset to high purchase prices, with some owners reporting annual yields of 8-10% through platforms like Airbnb. This vacation rental boom has further inflated values, as properties with proven income streams sell at a premium.

Local governments are responding variably. In Provincetown, officials have implemented short-term rental regulations to curb speculation and preserve housing stock for year-round residents. Similar measures in other towns aim to mitigate the "hollowing out" effect, where homes sit empty off-season. Community land trusts are gaining traction, acquiring properties to maintain affordability. One such initiative in Barnstable has successfully placed over 50 units into perpetual affordable status, offering a model for replication.

Economically, the real estate surge bolsters the Cape's broader ecosystem. Construction jobs have increased by 8%, and related industries like home staging, landscaping, and interior design are thriving. Tourism, already a $1 billion-plus industry, benefits from the influx of affluent homeowners who patronize local businesses. However, this prosperity is uneven; wage growth in service sectors lags behind housing costs, exacerbating inequality.

Personal stories illuminate the market's human side. Take the case of the Thompson family, who sold their Boston condo to buy a fixer-upper in Sandwich. "It was a stretch financially, but the lifestyle change is priceless," says matriarch Lisa Thompson. Conversely, longtime resident Mark Ellis, a fisherman in his 60s, laments being priced out of his childhood neighborhood. "The Cape I knew is slipping away," he reflects.

As 2025 progresses, all eyes are on inventory levels. If developers navigate regulatory hurdles to introduce more mid-range housing, it could alleviate some pressure. Until then, Cape Cod's real estate saga continues to unfold—a blend of aspiration, economics, and the enduring pull of the sea. (Word count: 1,248)

Read the Full The Boston Globe Article at:
[ https://www.bostonglobe.com/2025/07/30/real-estate/cape-cod-home-sales-high-prices/ ]